When Donald Trump steps to the podium Tuesday night for his State of the Union address, he’ll do so after a year marked by political turbulence, legal setbacks and renewed global tensions. The speech, scheduled for 9 p.m. ET, is expected to be lengthy — much like last year’s record-setting joint session address — and packed with both accomplishments and campaign-style messaging.
Here are four key themes to watch:
1. A Midterm Framing on the Economy
With midterm elections approaching, Trump is likely to use the address as a launching pad for Republicans’ campaign message. Polling shows the economy and cost of living remain voters’ top concerns.
Expect references to cutting taxes and lowering prescription drug prices, along with claims of economic strength. The challenge for Trump will be balancing his trademark boasts with acknowledgment that many Americans still feel squeezed by high prices. How directly he addresses those anxieties could shape the political narrative heading into November.
2. Fallout From the Tariff Ruling
Days before the speech, the Supreme Court of the United States struck down a key pillar of Trump’s trade agenda — his unilateral global tariffs — in a 6-3 ruling.
Trump has promised alternative measures, including a proposed 15% global tariff under different authority. But the court’s decision complicates earlier pledges, including funding for farmer bailouts and rebate checks that he said tariffs would cover. How he explains the path forward — and whether he addresses the justices directly — could provide one of the night’s most dramatic moments.
3. Tensions With Iran
A growing U.S. military presence in the Middle East and escalating rhetoric toward Iran create a tense backdrop for the speech. While advisers say the address will focus primarily on domestic policy, Trump may revisit last year’s strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, which he has described as decisive.
Questions linger about whether further action is planned — and under what authority — especially given that Congress has not formally authorized new military engagement. Even a brief mention of Iran could signal how aggressive the administration intends to be.
4. The Democratic Response
Democrats are aiming for a more disciplined reaction than last year’s chaotic response. The official rebuttal will be delivered by Abigail Spanberger, who is expected to focus on rising costs, stability and the state of American democracy as the nation approaches its 250th anniversary.
Some Democrats plan to boycott the address, while others will attend but seek to present a united front. Historically, rebuttals can be politically risky, making Spanberger’s performance an important moment for the party.
As always, the State of the Union offers a president one of the largest television audiences of the year. For Trump — a leader rarely absent from the spotlight — the question will be whether he uses it to sharpen his message or revisit familiar grievances.
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