HOME > SOCIETY > POLITICS > Will it be SP+BSP government in Uttar Pradesh?

Will it be SP+BSP government in Uttar Pradesh?

Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav

With Samajwadi Party leader Akhilesh Yadav extending a hand of friendship to Bahujan Samaj Party Supremo Mayawati, chances for a coalition government of archrivals Samajwadi Party and BSP have increased.

“We would like to keep the BJP out at all costs and do not want the party to rule the state by remote control,” Akhilesh Yadav said in an interview with BBC Hindi.

According to exit polls, the 404-member Uttar Pradesh legislative assembly is likely to be divided between the three parties, with none getting required majority to form government.

Though Mayawati could go with the BJP or SP for alliance or outside support, chances of her going with the BJP are much lower because of how the votes have fallen.

Unlike earlier, when the BSP had a strong, almost monopolistic command over the Dalit vote, this time, the BJP seems to have made inroads into BSP’s tradional vote base, just as it has made inroad into some of Samajwadi Party’s OBC base.

At the same time, neither the SP nor the BSP have eaten into each others’ vote bases.

Political commentator Saba Naqvi pointed out that the BJP has a trackrecord of first allying with, and then subsuming regional parties. Shiva Sena of Maharashtra and Maharashtravadi Gomantak Party have both found to their expense that allying with the BJP could result in an eventual loss of their votebase to the ‘national’ party.

“Throughout the 90s, the BJP adopted this strategy with the BSP in UP,” Naqvi said, adding that it has now started paying back in the form of new Dalit votes.

Another factor that could prompt Mayawati to support the SP – Congress alliance is the Muslim factor.

Mayawati needs the support of one more voting block other than Dalits to come to power. Her attempts to woo Brahmins came to nothing, especially in the face of a resurgent BJP, which has traditionally attracted Brahmin votes since the decline of the Congress over the last two decades.

As such, Mayawati made a strong play for the Muslim votes this time. However, a wary Muslim community seems to have decided to bet on SP leader Akhilesh Yadav, who has managed to cultivate a pro-growth, pro-development image in recent years.

Allying with Yadav and ‘keeping the BJP out’ will be looked upon with favor by the Muslim community of the state. On the other hand, if she allies with the BJP, or supports no one, it could potentially drive these voters away from her party forever, with the prospect of no other vote block coming forward to support her in the future.

EXIT POLL MISTAKES

Even as all these discussions go on, the BJP will be hoping that the traditional mistake made by exit pollsters in India — that of erring on the side of caution and underestimating the lead of the biggest party — could again be a factor in Uttar Pradesh this time.

Typically, any lead projected by exit polls are exaggerated when the actual results come out.

According to the exit polls, the BJP is set to win around 180 seats, followed by the SP-Congress alliance with 130 seats and the BSP with around 80 seats. To get a majority and form the government, the BJP requires 203 seats, something that has been seen as a possibility by only one of the four exit polls.

 

UTTAR PRADESH
MRC18512090
VMR190-210110-13057-74
Lokniti164-176156-16960-72
CVOTER155-167135-14781-93
GOA
BJPCongAAP
AXIS18-229-130-2
CVOTER15-2112-180-4
MRC15-21107
PUNJAB
AXIS4 – 762-7142-51
MRC75555
CVOTER5-1341-4959-67
Chanakya95454

 

Follow ULTRA.news
Arnab Goswami’s Republic TV gets derated by Malayalis Republic TV, the channel launched by Arnab Goswami -- the former editor of Times Now -- has come in for a barrage of criticism on social media after Malayalis took offence to what has been portrayed as repeated attempts by the channel to tarnish the reputation of the state.Th...
Nitish, Lalu and the ‘Post Truth’ Politics of Bihar In the so-called 'post truth' politics, facts and ideology do not have a place - it is emotion and rhetoric that counts.When Nitish Kumar decided to part ways with Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in late 2013 opposing the elevation of Narendra Modi as the prime ministerial cand...
Shiv Sena suspects Pakistan’s role behind gau-rakshaks Ratcheting up its attack on the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party, fellow saffron outfit Shiv Sena today dared cow vigilantes to fight for the country in Kashmir and asked if Pakistan was behind such attackers.India has seen two waves of vigilante attacks targeted at those who ea...
Kanhaiya Kumar, Jignesh Mavani, others organize anti-lynching platform Prominent activists such as Kanhaiya Kumar, Jignesh Mavani, Tehseen Poonawalla and Shehla Rashid have formed an anti-lynching front in the background of vigilante attacks in the name of religious symbols like the cow.Under the banner of the National Campaign Against Mob Lync...
O Panneerselvam says to look at alliance with BJP soon O Paneerselvam, the ex-chief minister of Tamil Nadu and the leader of a prominent faction within the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhakam (All India Anna Dravida Advancement Front) has indicated that his faction is open to an alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party.Panne...
Ravi Shankar Prasad tears into Mamata for ‘forcing’ family to abandon BJP BJP spokesperson Ravi Shankar Prasad today attacked West Bengal chief minister Mamata Bannerjee using very sharp words for what he said was the pressure brought on the adivasi family to renege its connection with his party and become supporters of Bannerjee's Trinamool Congress....
Cow Violence: Amit Shah says will bring situation under control Bharatiya Janata Party President Amit Shah said the state governments run by the party will bring people who commit violence in the name of the cow under control."Trust us, we will bring this under control very soon," Shah said in an interview with India Today television....
Delhi MCD Election Results Live: End of the road for AAP & Kejriwal BJP 181CONGRESS 31AAP 46OTHERS 12The initial trends from the Delhi Municipal Corporation (MCD) elections indicate that the prediction of exit polls of a demise for the Aam Aadmi Party have turned out to be correct.The BJP is all set to come...
Arnab Goswami teases the launch of Republic TV A videograb from the 'teaser'Arnab Goswami, arguably the most talked about Indian journalist in recent years, has released a teaser video on the upcoming launch of his new television channel Republic TV.The video shows Goswami writing a letter to Mr Gandhi -- perhaps a r...
Malappuram bypoll election results: BJP fails to make headway The Bharatiya Janata Party has failed to make much headway in Kerala over the last two years, going by the results of a by-poll in the Muslim-dominated Malappuram Lok Sabha constituency.With nearly 95% of the eight lakh votes counted, the BJP has seen its vote share decline f...
At 9.7 cr/year, Sidhu is highest-earning Punjab MLA, 40% AAP MLAs are crorepati An analysis of the election filings of the newly elected members of Punjab Legislative Assembly revealed that Navjot Singh Sidhu, the ex-cricketer and television personality who joined the Indian National Congress just before the election, is the highest-earning member of the h...
Stock markets pricing in a BJP win in Uttar Pradesh – analyst Officials tally votes in a recent electionThe recent strength in India's key stock market indices indicates that market participants are pricing in a victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party in Uttar Pradesh, according to an stock market analyst.India's largest state has b...
Most UP MLAs saw big increases in wealth in 5 yrs, but some lost big The average Uttar Pradesh MLA saw their wealth increase by 82% in the five years during their tenure in the state assembly from 2012 to 2017, an analysis of their wealth submissions by Association for Democratic Reforms found.The analysis was based on the filings made by 31...
Arvind Kejriwal protests after Twitter cracks down on AAP accounts Aam Aadmi Party leader Arvind Kejriwal took to his account to protest the deletion of several AAP accounts after the social media company changed its anti-abuse algorithm.Three days ago, Twitter had said that it was putting in more safeguards against abuse and manipulation on...
Siddhu on joining Congress: No party is good or bad! Navjot Singh Siddhu, the cricketer turned politician and a vehement critic of the Indian National Congress for several years, justified his decision to join the party saying that no party, by itself, is good or bad."No party is good or bad. The same party can be run by bad pe...
Katju says SP will defeat BJP in UP Elections; Demonetization, Akhilesh to aid Former Supreme Court judge and a keen observer of Indian politics, Markandey Katju has predicted a win for the Samajwadi Party led by Akhilesh Yadav in the upcoming Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections.BJP, which is seen as a strong contender by many, would be negatively impacted...
UP POLLS: BSP gives most number of seats to Upper Castes; Muslims second Bahujan Samaj Party has allocated the highest block of candidacies for the upcoming elections to the Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly to upper caste Hindus, followed by Muslims.Announcing the details, party supremo Mayawati said a total of 113 seats -- amounting to 28% ...
Mayawati warns Muslims: Akhilesh vs Mulayalam will bring BJP to power Bahujan Samaj Party leader Kumari Mayawati has warned Muslim voters in Uttar Pradesh against continuing to vote for Samajwadi Party, claiming that the current fight between SP leader Mulayam Singh and his son Akhilesh would split their votes in two."I urge you not to let ...
Subramanian Swamy attacks Ratan Tata for investing money in Britain Keeping up his attacks on Tata Group interim chairman Ratan Tata, BJP leader Subramanian Swamy fired yet another salvo at the veteran industrialist for investing huge amounts of money into Britain, instead of doing so in India.Tata Steel had acquired UK-based Corus for around...
Taxes will be made “more reasonable” in cashless India – Jaitley Taxes in India will be made more reasonable as more and more transactions switch to the cashless mode, finance minister Arun Jaitley said."As more and more transactions are made cashless, they will come under taxation.. (and with this) taxes will be made more reasonable, both...
BJP asks all MPs, MLAs to submit bank statement to party As part of the ongoing crackdown on tax evasion and illicit funds, the Bharatiya Janata Party has asked all its MPs and MLAs to submit the full details of their banking transactions from Nov 8 onwards.The central leadership of the party will examine the bank statements of the...
Rahul Gandhi seeks Parliamentary probe into ‘leak of information’ ahead of demonetizatio... Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi dismissed charges that the opposition was not speaking in one voice on demonetization and said the entire opposition is united in their demands.Asked whether the opposition parties wanted a roll-back, Gandhi said there were only two demand...
Will currency ban hit non-BJP parties in UP elections? The currency ban could give the Bharatiya Janata Party an upper hand in the upcoming UP election by denying funding to opposition parties.The Congress has already attacked the move to ban 500 and 1000 rupee notes with effect from midnight today.Since nearly the entire mon...
Amit Shah wishes ‘Vaman Jayanti’ on Onam It is customary for politicians to wish people on festivities. Doing so is supposed to give the audience a feeling that the politician connects with them and shares in their joy.However, it is also possible for this to have unintended consequences in a different cultural cont...
Hindu JanaJagruti Samiti seeks release of Gau Raksha Dal chief Hindu JanaJagruti Samiti, a loose coalition of some Hindutva organization, today sought the immediate withdrawal of charges against Satishkumar Pradhan, who was arrested over the weekend over charges including raping a truck driver.Pradhan is the head of Gau Raksha Dal (C...